概要：
当二美（房力贷，房丽美）上周披露自己真实的损失数据后，更多的金融产业和其他企业也加入了这个行列，失业率由此不断攀升，信贷危机愈演愈烈，政府基金到处灭火，虽然显得势单力孤，螳臂挡车。美国经济业内人士都在不同程度的预测股市的持续走低以及石油和黄金的攀升，然而道琼斯收益300，油价进一步回稳，美元价格走高，金价始跌，让人不禁大跌眼镜。
在这个奇妙的过山车旅程中，美国总统身边重要又神秘的Plunge Protection Team(PPT， 前身是总统财经工作组President’s Working Group on Financial Markets)起到了至关重要的作用，本文有详细描述。James Turk给了一个比较合理又深入的解析，告诉我们八月第一周美元走高的内幕：
截至7月16日，美联储拥有国库券23490亿，而到8月14日，则上升到了24010亿，折算年增率38.4%。由此可见中央银行在过去三周以远高于贸易赤字需要的速度买进美元，使得美元升值。
同时PPT也对黄金、石油市场进行了干预。
"On July 16, 2008 . . . , the Federal Reserve reported holding $2,349 billion of US government paper in custody for central banks. In its report released today, this amount had grown over the past three weeks to $2,401 billion, a 38.4% annual rate of growth. . . . So central banks were accumulating dollars over the past three weeks at a rate far above what one would expect as a result of the US trade deficit. The logical conclusion is that they were intervening in currency markets. They were buying dollars for the purpose of propping it up, to keep the dollar from falling off the edge of the cliff and doing so ignited a short covering rally, which is not too difficult to do given the leverage employed in the markets these days by hedge funds and others."
文章说，这种干预只能短期起作用，没法解救次贷危机。 预计今年三月到十月有4000亿的ARM(利率可调性房贷）会被或者已经被调整(到更高的利率)。假定缺资的负债者有3到6月的缓冲期，那么几月后到2009年3月会有另外一波巨大的违约狂潮。而在这之后，option ARM （期权利率可调性房贷）也将进行利率调整，即时美联储给两房以广大纳税人为代价的8000亿信用担保也可能被耗尽－－－原因是底下的1000万亿金融衍生品泡沫问题正在爆发。到处的银行都已经面对着巨额的无法回收的债务，这让整个银行系统到了崩溃的边缘。只有政府的紧急救助可能有所帮助，不过那会让整个国家破产！
For one thing, roughly $400 billion in ARMs (adjustable rate mortgages) have or will reset between March and October of this year. Assuming 3 to 6 months for strapped debtors to actually hit the wall with their payments, a huge wave of defaults is about to strike, continuing through March 2009 – just in time for the next huge wave of resets, in option ARMs. 3 Option ARMs are loans with the option to pay even less than just the interest on the loan monthly, increasing the loan balance until the loan reaches a certain amount (typically 110% to 125% of the original loan balance), when it resets. The $800 billion credit line recently opened to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac may be not only tapped but tapped out, at taxpayer expense. The underlying problem is little discussed but impossible to repair – a one quadrillion dollar derivatives scheme that is now imploding. Banks everywhere are facing massive writeoffs, putting the whole banking system on the brink of collapse. Only public bailouts will save it, but they could bankrupt the nation.
怎么办？？？？？？
历史上美国已经多次应用战争来分散人们的注意力意图转嫁经济危机的责任。1997年电影“wag the dog”的一句台词或许能告诉人们8月格鲁吉亚战争的原因："There’s a crisis in the White House, and to save the election, they’d have to fake a war." （白宫出了危机，为了选举，它们必须发起战争）。文章指出时间选在奥运期间是预谋的，它们想让中国陷于奥运而无力分心支援俄罗斯。它们并且驱使主流媒体说这场战争是俄罗斯发起对小国格鲁吉亚战争的祸首。不过仍有少数媒体如华盛顿时报指出格鲁吉亚发起战争是在美国暗示下进行的。另有人指CIA对中亚的颜色革命和渗透由来已久，这场战争不是好人和坏人的问题，而是关乎两党使命（维持本国资本利益，解救危机）的问题。
本文结合了格鲁吉亚战事以及现任奥巴马外交首席顾问的布热津斯基的策略分别从美国国家外交军事政策进一步阐述了这场战争的起因。
文章总结到：从战争和股市等都可以看到市场和战争都为幕后的大棋手操纵的痕迹。“Markets are manipulated and wars are staged by Grand Chessmen behind the scenes.”
英文原文见：
http://lotek.newsvine.com/_news/ ... e-economic-collapse
